IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.1	#160
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.5	#263
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.8	#253

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.7	#96

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	1.7%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.7%	19.6%	7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.5%	3.7%	0.4%
Average Seed	13.2	11.4	13.4

.500 or above	49.7%	82.1%	48.4%
.500 or above in Conference	54.9%	79.3%	53.8%
Conference Champion	8.2%	20.5%	7.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.7%	2.0%	9.0%

First Four	0.6%	1.9%	0.5%
First Round	7.5%	18.9%	7.0%
Second Round	1.1%	4.9%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	1.1%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	1.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	5 - 6	6 - 11
Quad 4	6 - 2	12 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	10	@ Michigan St.	L	60-79	4%
Nov 28, 2020	331	SIU Edwardsville	W	74-62	87%
Dec 04, 2020	137	Toledo	W	70-69	55%
Dec 16, 2020	155	@ Valparaiso	L	67-71	38%
Jan 02, 2021	172	Kent St.	W	71-67	62%
Jan 05, 2021	116	@ Buffalo	L	71-78	29%
Jan 09, 2021	126	Akron	W	69-68	52%
Jan 12, 2021	137	@ Toledo	L	67-72	35%
Jan 16, 2021	207	@ Central Michigan	W	75-74	50%
Jan 19, 2021	238	Western Michigan	W	70-62	74%
Jan 23, 2021	179	Miami (OH)	W	69-65	63%
Jan 26, 2021	126	@ Akron	L	66-71	32%
Jan 30, 2021	189	@ Northern Illinois	L	63-64	46%
Feb 02, 2021	146	Bowling Green	W	72-70	57%
Feb 06, 2021	134	@ Ohio	L	65-70	35%
Feb 09, 2021	179	@ Miami (OH)	L	66-68	43%
Feb 13, 2021	130	Ball St.	W	66-65	52%
Feb 16, 2021	116	Buffalo	L	74-75	48%
Feb 20, 2021	172	@ Kent St.	L	68-70	41%
Feb 23, 2021	207	Central Michigan	W	78-72	68%
Feb 27, 2021	189	Northern Illinois	W	66-61	64%
Mar 02, 2021	130	@ Ball St.	L	63-68	34%
Mar 05, 2021	238	@ Western Michigan	W	67-65	56%
Projected Record						11 - 12	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.3	0.9	1.9	2.0	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.1		8.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.9	3.0	2.4	1.1	0.2	0.0				9.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.5	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0					9.0	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.6	3.6	2.1	0.5	0.0							9.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.5	4.2	2.0	0.3	0.0								9.2	5th
6th									0.3	2.1	4.1	2.4	0.3	0.0									9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.6	4.1	2.6	0.3	0.0										8.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.3	3.9	2.6	0.4	0.0											8.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.2	2.8	0.6	0.0												8.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.5	3.0	2.3	0.7	0.0													8.0	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	2.3	1.7	0.4	0.0														6.9	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0															5.4	12th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9	3.7	5.0	6.5	7.5	9.3	9.8	10.1	10.0	8.7	8.1	6.4	4.9	3.3	1.9	1.0	0.4	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
18-2	96.3%	1.0		1.0	0.0
17-3	87.2%	1.6		1.3	0.3	0.0	0.0
16-4	62.3%	2.0		1.2	0.7	0.1
15-5	38.8%	1.9		0.8	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	13.6%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-7	3.1%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.2%	8.2		5.0	2.4	0.7	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		90.9%	59.5%	31.4%	7.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		77.6%
19-1	0.4%		71.4%	46.4%	25.0%	9.3			0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		46.6%
18-2	1.0%		52.5%	37.8%	14.7%	11.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.5		23.6%
17-3	1.9%		44.9%	38.6%	6.3%	11.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0			1.0		10.3%
16-4	3.3%		28.5%	26.5%	2.0%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.3		2.7%
15-5	4.9%		21.2%	21.1%	0.2%	13.2												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1		3.9		0.2%
14-6	6.4%		18.1%	18.1%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	5.2
13-7	8.1%		10.9%	10.9%		14.1													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.0	7.2
12-8	8.7%		8.6%	8.6%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	7.9
11-9	10.0%		5.6%	5.6%		14.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1	9.5
10-10	10.1%		3.1%	3.1%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	9.8
9-11	9.8%		1.3%	1.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.7
8-12	9.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.0	0.1	9.2
7-13	7.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	7.4
6-14	6.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
5-15	5.0%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.0
4-16	3.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
3-17	1.9%																							1.9
2-18	1.0%																							1.0
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		7.7%	7.3%	0.5%	13.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.2	2.1	1.6	1.3	0.6	92.3		0.5%